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impact of projected growth public school capacity 2040

Other July 20, 2022 · 1 page(s)

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Draft table assessing how projected growth could affect public school capacity by 2040 for four schools, comparing state-rated capacity and 2020 fall enrollment/percent use with three 2040 projection scenarios. The table uses assumed pupil yields per new dwelling unit (0.2 elementary, 0.1 middle, 0.15 high) and cites the Queen Anne's County Public Schools Educational Facilities Master Plan, 2022 as the data source.

public school capacity2040 projectionsCentreville ElementaryKennard ElementaryCentreville MiddleQueen Anne's County Highpupil yield assumptionsEducational Facilities Master Plan 2022
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DRAFT
Impact of Projected Growth: Public School Capacity
2040 Projection 1 2040 Projection 2 2040 Projection 3
State Rated 2020 Fall % Use in
Public School1 Increased Capacity % Use in Increased Capacity % Use in Increased Capacity % Use in
Capacity Enrollment 2020
Pupil Remaining 2040 Pupil Remaining 2040 Pupil Remaining 2040
Enrollment Enrollment in Enrollment
Centreville Elementary 5 81 4 32 74.4%
8 9 1 17 89% 475 ( 269) 125% 143 6 4 94%
Kennard Elementary 5 03 4 46 88.7%
Centreville Middle 6 59 5 50 83.5% 4 4 6 5 90% 237 ( 357) 119% 71 3 8 94%
Queen Anne's County High 1 ,263 1 ,214 96.1% 6 7 ( 18) 101% 356 ( 925) 124% 107 ( 58) 105%
1The "Projected Increased Demand" (for student enrollment) reflects the following assumed pupil yields for new dwelling units: 0.2 students per unit (for elementary school), 0.1 students per unit (for middle school) and 0.15 students per unit (for high school).
Source of State Rated Capacity and Enrollment data is the Queen Anne's County Public Schools Educational Facilities Master Plan, 2022
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